I can't help thinking, despite a lot of wishful thinking by left wing commentators, that John Kerry is heading for defeat in the coming US Presidential election.
The similarities to the recent Australian Federal election are there. The polls showing Bush consistently ahead; the odd poll showing Kerry gaining momentum a few weeks out, only to have incumbent regain the lead into the last week.
Like Howard in Australia, Bush seems to have the struggling middle class firmly in his grasp. The only wildcard is whether they turn up to vote.
I hope I'm wrong.
